The poll also found that 92% of Republicans [â¦] The answer depends on continuation of the trends described in Chapter 1. This poll is accurate to within ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians aged 18+ been polled. Buddhists appear headed for similarly rapid growth in Europe â a projected rise from 1.4 million to 2.5 million. It starts with a population of baseline age groups, or cohorts, divided by sex and religion. India will retain a Hindu majority but also will have the largest Muslim population of any country in the world, surpassing Indonesia. Since religious change has never previously been projected on this scale, some cautionary words are in order. The standard measure of fertility in this report is the Total Fertility Rate. People who identify their religion as Jewish in surveys are projected to decline from an estimated 1.8% of the U.S. population in 2010 to 1.4% in 2050. He will also be dealing directly with the domestic airline industry as it continues to push for government aid amid the coronavirus pandemic, and as Canadians continue to demand refunds on cancelled flights. Funding for the Global Religious Futures project comes from The Pew Charitable Trusts and the John Templeton Foundation. Beximco Pharmaceuticals Ltd, one of the leading drug makers, today said it is going to acquire 54.6 percent stake of Sanofi Bangladesh in its bid to further strengthen its position in the drug market. In Hindu-majority India, religious affiliation remains nearly universal despite rapid social and economic change. Jews comprised 0.20% of the worldâs population in 2010 and are projected to comprise 0.17% in 2050. International migration is another factor that will influence the projected size of religious groups in various regions and countries. Islam was second, with 1.6 billion adherents, or 23% of the global population. For example, if a large share of Chinaâs population were to switch to Christianity (as discussed in this sidebar), that shift alone could bolster Christianityâs current position as the worldâs most populous religion. Many staff members in the Pew Research Centerâs Religion & Public Life project contributed to this effort. (For more details on how and where switching was modeled, see the Methodology. Over the past six years, a number of former Pew Research Center staff members also played critical roles in producing the population projections. However, other studies by the Pew Research Center show that Catholics have been declining and Protestants have been rising as a percentage of the population in some Latin American countries. Muslims will be more numerous in the U.S. than people who identify as Jewish on the basis of religion. And by the middle of the 21st century, the United States is likely to have more Muslims (2.1% of the population) than people who identify with the Jewish faith (1.4%).10, In Latin America and the Caribbean, Christians will remain the largest religious group, making up 89% of the population in 2050, down slightly from 90% in 2010. Conrad Hackett was the lead researcher and primary author of this report. But if Christianity expands in China in the decades to come â as some experts predict â then by 2050, the global numbers of Christians may be higher than projected, and the decline in the percentage of the worldâs population that is religiously unaffiliated may be even sharper. The youngest cohorts, ages 0-4, are created by applying age-specific fertility rates to each female cohort in the childbearing years (ages 15-49), with children inheriting the motherâs religion. Nationally, the NDP are at 19 per cent of decided voter support and the Greens are at eight per cent. One of the main determinants of that future growth is where each group is geographically concentrated today. Most immigrants come to GCC countries as temporary workers. In the United States, for example, the unaffiliated are projected to grow from an estimated 16% of the total population (including children) in 2010 to 26% in 2050. Without migration, the Muslim share of Europeâs population in 2050 is projected to be nearly two percentage points lower (8.4%). Communications support was provided by Katherine Ritchey and Russ Oates. By contrast, just 7% of Muslims and 8% of Hindus are in this oldest age category. While the data collection and projection methodology were guided by our consultants and advisers, the Pew Research Center is solely responsible for the interpretation and reporting of the data. TOPLINE. Ongoing growth in both regions will fuel global increases in the Muslim population. Please read our Commenting Policy first. Data on subgroups of the unaffiliated are also unavailable in many countries. The projections take into account the current size and geographic distribution of the worldâs major religions, age differences, fertility and mortality rates, international migration and patterns in conversion. Estimates from other sources on the size of additional groups in this category can be found in. Because of the scarcity of census and survey data, Pew Research has not projected the size of individual religions within this category. In North America, the Hindu share of the population is expected to nearly double in the decades ahead, from 0.7% in 2010 to 1.3% in 2050, when migration is included in the projection models. And, if so, when? Get a roundup of the most important and intriguing stories, delivered to your inbox, Trudeau shuffles cabinet as poll shows Liberals flirting with majority territory. The cabinet shuffle comes as coronavirus cases explode, vaccine rollout begins, and a new poll shows the Conservatives shedding support among decided voters. The number of countries with Christian majorities is expected to decline from 159 to 151, as Christians are projected to drop below 50% of the population in Australia, Benin, Bosnia-Herzegovina, France, the Netherlands, New Zealand, the Republic of Macedonia and the United Kingdom. All told, the unaffiliated are expected to add 97 million people and lose 36 million via switching, for a net gain of 61 million by 2050. (+1) 202-419-4300 | Main Some 56% of Republicans believe that QAnon, a far-right conspiracy theory, is mostly or partly true, according to a new Daily Kos/Civiqs ⦠All the other groups have fertility levels too low to sustain their populations: folk religions (1.8 children per woman), other religions (1.7), the unaffiliated (1.7) and Buddhists (1.6). A final chapter takes a region-by-region look at the projections, including separate sections on Asia and the Pacific, Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Middle East and North Africa, North America and sub-Saharan Africa. Poll: Majority of Americans support Trump impeachment and conviction. But, as a share of all the people in the world, those with no religious affiliation are projected to decline from 16% in 2010 to 13% by the middle of this century. FlashGap is entering a hotly competitive space where any of the big players vying for millennials' eyes already have a head start. Others at the Pew Research Center who provided editorial or research guidance include Michael Dimock, Claudia Deane, Scott Keeter, Jeffrey S. Passel and DâVera Cohn. Bains will continue to serve as MP for his riding until the next election. Several countries are projected to have a different religious majority in 2050 than they did in 2010.